US bond-market signal

US bond-market signal: yield curve, credit spreads, real yields (no params)

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Endpoint

GET https://rates.lonestaroracle.xyz/rates

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Example input (from the provider)

{
  "method": "GET",
  "type": "http"
}

Promised output schema (from the provider)

{
  "category": "markets",
  "description": "US bond-market signal, made agent-callable. One x402 call (no parameters) returns the yield curve (the 2s10s and 3m10y spreads, inversion status, steepening vs flattening trend, and a recession flag off the NY Fed's 3m10y), credit spreads (ICE BofA investment-grade and high-yield option-adjusted spreads, each scored against its own 1-year history so 'HY at the 8th percentile' reads as calm vs stressed, plus week-over-week widening), real yields and 10-year inflation breakevens, and a combined rates-regime read (expansion / late_cycle / credit_stress / mixed). The bond market's read that sits alongside MacroPulse and LiquidityPulse, served pay-per-call. $0.05 in USDC on Base via x402. Source: FRED / Federal Reserve (free/public).",
  "name": "RatesPulse",
  "properties": {
    "input": {
      "properties": {
        "method": {
          "enum": [
            "GET",
            "HEAD",
            "DELETE"
          ],
          "type": "string"
        },
        "queryParams": {
          "properties": {},
          "type": "object"
        },
        "type": {
          "const": "http",
          "type": "string"
        }
      },
      "required": [
        "type",
        "method"
      ],
      "type": "object"
    },
    "output": {
      "properties": {
        "example": {
          "credit": {
            "hy_oas_bps": 270,
            "hy_pctile_1y": 8,
            "hy_wow_change_bps": 0,
            "ig_oas_bps": 81,
            "stress": "calm"
          },
          "curve": {
            "recession_flag": false,
            "s2s10s_bps": 52,
            "s3m10y_bps": 85,
            "status": "normal",
            "trend": "steepening",
            "yields_pct": {
              "10y": 4.72,
              "2y": 4.19,
              "30y": 5.31,
              "3m": 3.87
            }
          },
          "inflation": {
            "breakeven_10y_pct": 2.3,
            "read": "real_yields_elevated",
            "real_yield_10y_pct": 2.44
          },
          "policy": {
            "fed_funds_pct": 3.63
          },
          "signal": "expansion",
          "source": "Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)",
          "summary": "10Y-2Y positive at +52bps (steepening); credit calm (HY 270bps, 8th pct of 1yr); 10Y real yield 2.44%. Regime: expansion."
        },
        "type": {
          "type": "string"
        }
      },
      "required": [
        "type"
      ],
      "type": "object"
    }
  },
  "required": [
    "input"
  ],
  "tags": [
    "rates",
    "bonds",
    "yield-curve",
    "credit-spreads",
    "fixed-income",
    "macro",
    "fed"
  ],
  "type": "object",
  "version": "1.0.0"
}

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