Gambler's ruin
Gambler's ruin: probability of going broke before hitting a target, and expected number of bets, for repeated unit bets.
Answeringour last check, 2026-10-21
1 of 1checks answered this week
520 msmedian answer time
$0.02listed price per call
$0.02price it asked us
Paid test badge: not yet. The checks above are free: we call the tool without paying and read the payment request it sends back. The Verified badge needs paid calls whose answers match the promised output, and nobody can buy a badge.
Endpoint
GET https://probability-calc.x402tookit.com/gamblers-ruin
| Category | Everything else |
|---|---|
| Provider host | probability-calc.x402tookit.com |
| Networks | eip155:137, eip155:42161, eip155:8453, solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp |
| Payment schemes | exact |
| Self-reported calls, 30 days | 1 from 1 payers (the provider's figure, not ours) |
Our checks, last 30 days
| Day | Result | HTTP | Asked | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | valid payment request | 402 | $0.02 | 520 ms |
Example input (from the provider)
{
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"bankroll": 100,
"p": 0.473684,
"target": 200
},
"type": "http"
}
Promised output schema (from the provider)
{
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"properties": {
"input": {
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"properties": {
"bankroll": {
"description": "Starting units, 1 to 1000000",
"type": "integer"
},
"p": {
"description": "Probability of winning each bet, 0 to 1 (roulette red/black on a double-zero wheel 18/38 = 0.473684)",
"type": "number"
},
"target": {
"description": "Stop when you reach this many units (omit to play until ruin)",
"type": "integer"
}
},
"required": [
"p",
"bankroll"
],
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"const": "http",
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"type": "object"
},
"output": {
"properties": {
"example": {
"properties": {
"asOf": {
"type": [
"null",
"string"
]
},
"bankroll": {
"type": [
"null",
"number"
]
},
"degraded": {
"type": [
"boolean",
"null"
]
},
"disclaimer": {
"type": [
"null",
"string"
]
},
"expectedBets": {
"type": [
"null",
"number"
]
},
"lossProbability": {
"type": [
"null",
"number"
]
},
"notChecked": {
"items": {
"type": "string"
},
"type": [
"array",
"null"
]
},
"ratioQOverP": {
"type": [
"null",
"number"
]
},
"reasons": {
"items": {
"type": "string"
},
"type": [
"array",
"null"
]
},
"ruinProbability": {
"type": [
"null",
"number"
]
},
"source": {
"type": [
"null",
"string"
]
},
"successProbability": {
"type": [
"null",
"number"
]
},
"summary": {
"type": [
"null",
"string"
]
},
"target": {
"type": [
"null",
"number"
]
},
"verdict": {
"type": [
"null",
"string"
]
},
"winProbability": {
"type": [
"null",
"number"
]
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type"
],
"type": "object"
}
},
"required": [
"input"
],
"type": "object"
}