Grok-synthesized consensus forecast for candidate/party WINNER election markets
Grok-synthesized consensus forecast for candidate/party WINNER election markets (US and international). Blends live Polymarket odds (ground truth) with a polling average Grok synthesizes from multiple sources via web_search; returns per-candidate composites (equal-weight market+poll), the individual polls averaged into each candidate (verifiable), and cited sources. Target a market with a registered 'race' key or any Polymarket election event 'slug'.
Answeringour last check, 2026-10-25
1 of 1checks answered this week
654 msmedian answer time
$0.06listed price per call
$0.06price it asked us
Paid test badge: not yet. The checks above are free: we call the tool without paying and read the payment request it sends back. The Verified badge needs paid calls whose answers match the promised output, and nobody can buy a badge.
Endpoint
GET https://polynews.news/api/v1/election-forecast
| Category | Market data |
|---|---|
| Provider host | polynews.news |
| Networks | eip155:8453, solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp |
| Payment schemes | exact |
| Self-reported calls, 30 days | 1 from 1 payers (the provider's figure, not ours) |
Our checks, last 30 days
| Day | Result | HTTP | Asked | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | valid payment request | 402 | $0.06 | 654 ms |
Example input (from the provider)
{
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"race": "dem-nominee-2028"
},
"type": "http"
}
Promised output schema (from the provider)
{
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"properties": {
"input": {
"additionalProperties": false,
"properties": {
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"properties": {
"race": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"const": "http",
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"type": "object"
},
"output": {
"properties": {
"example": {
"properties": {
"data": {
"properties": {
"candidates": {
"items": {
"properties": {
"components": {
"properties": {
"market": {
"type": "number"
},
"poll": {
"type": "number"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"composite": {
"description": "Blended probability 0-1 (equal-weight mean of market + poll)",
"type": "number"
},
"name": {
"type": "string"
},
"polls": {
"description": "Individual polls averaged into components.poll (poll == mean of values). Empty/absent when Grok found no specific polls.",
"items": {
"properties": {
"date": {
"type": "string"
},
"pollster": {
"type": "string"
},
"url": {
"type": "string"
},
"value": {
"description": "This candidate's implied probability/share in this poll, 0-1",
"type": "number"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"type": "array"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"type": "array"
},
"lastUpdated": {
"type": "string"
},
"race": {
"type": "string"
},
"sentiment": {
"type": "string"
},
"sources": {
"type": "array"
},
"summary": {
"type": "string"
},
"weights": {
"properties": {
"market": {
"type": "number"
},
"poll": {
"type": "number"
}
},
"type": "object"
}
},
"type": "object"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type"
],
"type": "object"
}
},
"required": [
"input"
],
"type": "object"
}