ToolAssay

Bitcoin Up or Down 30-Minute Probability estimates p_up and p_down for half-hour

Bitcoin Up or Down 30-Minute Probability estimates p_up and p_down for half-hour windows using the widest caller-supplied context in this family. Send 8-240 ordered caller-supplied BTC price observations, the target venue's opening price, and its close timestamp; optionally include UP/DOWN share prices and entry fees for a descriptive model-edge comparison. Returns a conservative probability pair, lean, input-quality score, model contract, and warnings for $0.003 USDC via x402 on Base or Solana…

Not tested: has real-world effectsour last check, 2026-09-24
0 of 0checks answered this week
n/amedian answer time
$0.003listed price per call
n/aprice it asked us

Paid test badge: not yet. The checks above are free: we call the tool without paying and read the payment request it sends back. The Verified badge needs paid calls whose answers match the promised output, and nobody can buy a badge.

Endpoint

POST https://api.delx.ai/api/v1/x402/bitcoin-up-down-30m

CategoryMarket data
Provider hostapi.delx.ai
Networkseip155:8453, solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp
Payment schemesexact
Self-reported calls, 30 days1 from 1 payers (the provider's figure, not ours)

Our checks, last 30 days

We never call tools that send, buy, move money or file anything, not even without paying.

Example input (from the provider)

{
  "body": {
    "fee_bps": 50,
    "market_down_price": 0.54,
    "market_up_price": 0.48,
    "observations": [
      {
        "price": 100000,
        "timestamp": 1799998200
      },
      {
        "price": 100035,
        "timestamp": 1799998425
      },
      {
        "price": 100070,
        "timestamp": 1799998650
      },
      {
        "price": 100105,
        "timestamp": 1799998875
      },
      {
        "price": 100140,
        "timestamp": 1799999100
      },
      {
        "price": 100175,
        "timestamp": 1799999325
      },
      {
        "price": 100210,
        "timestamp": 1799999550
      },
      {
        "price": 100245,
        "timestamp": 1799999775
      }
    ],
    "window_close_timestamp": 1800000000,
    "window_open_price": 100000
  },
  "bodyType": "json",
  "method": "POST",
  "type": "http"
}

Promised output schema (from the provider)

{
  "properties": {
    "input": {
      "properties": {
        "body": {
          "additionalProperties": false,
          "properties": {
            "fee_bps": {
              "maximum": 1000,
              "minimum": 0,
              "type": "integer"
            },
            "market_down_price": {
              "maximum": 1,
              "minimum": 0,
              "type": "number"
            },
            "market_up_price": {
              "maximum": 1,
              "minimum": 0,
              "type": "number"
            },
            "observations": {
              "items": {
                "additionalProperties": false,
                "properties": {
                  "price": {
                    "maximum": 1000000000000000,
                    "minimum": 1e-12,
                    "type": "number"
                  },
                  "timestamp": {
                    "minimum": 1,
                    "type": "integer"
                  }
                },
                "required": [
                  "timestamp",
                  "price"
                ],
                "type": "object"
              },
              "maxItems": 240,
              "minItems": 8,
              "type": "array"
            },
            "window_close_timestamp": {
              "minimum": 1,
              "type": "integer"
            },
            "window_open_price": {
              "maximum": 1000000000000000,
              "minimum": 1e-12,
              "type": "number"
            }
          },
          "required": [
            "observations",
            "window_open_price",
            "window_close_timestamp"
          ],
          "type": "object"
        },
        "bodyType": {
          "const": "json",
          "type": "string"
        },
        "method": {
          "const": "POST",
          "type": "string"
        },
        "type": {
          "const": "http",
          "type": "string"
        }
      },
      "required": [
        "type",
        "method",
        "bodyType",
        "body"
      ],
      "type": "object"
    },
    "output": {
      "additionalProperties": true,
      "properties": {
        "asset": {
          "type": "string"
        },
        "data_quality": {
          "additionalProperties": true,
          "properties": {
            "label": {
              "type": "string"
            },
            "observations_used": {
              "type": "integer"
            },
            "score": {
              "type": "number"
            }
          },
          "type": "object"
        },
        "estimate": {
          "additionalProperties": true,
          "properties": {
            "lean": {
              "type": "string"
            },
            "p_down": {
              "type": "number"
            },
            "p_up": {
              "type": "number"
            }
          },
          "type": "object"
        },
        "horizon_minutes": {
          "type": "integer"
        },
        "input_provenance": {
          "type": "string"
        },
        "model": {
          "additionalProperties": true,
          "properties": {
            "deterministic_for_same_input": {
              "type": "boolean"
            },
            "no_live_market_data": {
              "type": "boolean"
            },
            "probability_is_uncalibrated": {
              "type": "boolean"
            },
            "version": {
              "type": "string"
            }
          },
          "type": "object"
        },
        "schema": {
          "type": "string"
        },
        "status": {
          "type": "string"
        },
        "warnings": {
          "items": {
            "type": "string"
          },
          "type": "array"
        }
      },
      "type": "object"
    }
  },
  "required": [
    "input",
    "output"
  ],
  "type": "object"
}

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